Rainy days ahead, but will there be snow?
Probably not. We likely won't see any snow out of this storm in Anchorage, but it's a different story for other parts of Southcentral. The snow stays north Wednesday, but a shot of cold air on the backside of the storm will turn rain into snow for many late Thursday.
The rain and the direction it comes from will keep us warm through the day on Wednesday. In fact, our low temperature for the day is what our normal high temperature for the day should be. 44 degrees. The warm temperatures are thanks to, in part, this summer's heat and the rain and direction from which it comes. Warm sea surface temperatures of the Gulf of Alaska are warming the air and rain being advected to Southcentral. That will bump temperatures up to near 50 degrees this afternoon.
Because of the warmer temperatures, it will be rain for much of Southcentral Wednesday. Snow will stay north of Talkeetna on the Parks highway and north of Paxson on the Richardson highway. Winter weather advisories and winter storm warnings remain in effect through 6 p.m. today for much of the interior.
Winter Storm Warning: Through 6 p.m.
Heavy snow will continue for the Western Brooks Range North of Noatak to Kiana where another 3-7 inches of snow is expected, along with up to an inch in the valley areas.
The Brooks Range north of Ambler to Shungnak will likely see an additional 2 inches of snow and a significant reduction in visibility.
The Yukon Flats and surrounding uplands including the Steese Highway and Eagle Summit will see an additional 2-4 inches of snow. The heaviest snow accumulations will be in the White Mountains. Up to an inch is expected for much of the Yukon Flats, in addition to poor visibility.
Winter Weather Advisory: Through 6 p.m.
The Upper Koyukuk Valley will see an additional 1-3 inches of snow with up to 5 inches through Wednesday night. The heaviest snow will be from Prospect Creek north along the Dalton Highway and north of the Koyukuk River.
The Central Interior will see another 2-5 inches of snow with the heaviest accumulations north of the Tanana River and along the Elliott Highway. Valley areas will see up to an additional inch.
The Middle Tanana Valley, including Fairbanks and surrounding uplands, will see an additional 2-4 inches of snow. The heaviest snow will be above 2,000 feet. Valley areas east of Fairbanks will see up to an inch.
The Eastern Alaska Range will see 3-6 inches of snow with up to 10 inches in localized areas. Visibility will also be poor as winds gust to 60 mph near the passes.
Thursday & Friday:
Rain continues right on into the day on Thursday. The flow of moisture continues, there will be a few breaks in the showers, but the moisture keeps them in the forecast. Showers will taper off late Thursday. Cold air behind the storm will give some the chance of seeing snow on the ground Friday morning.
It is unlikely we will see any accumulation in Anchorage. A few snowflakes falling on the backside of this storm is about as close to winter as we get this go-round.
It's a different story in the valley. Overnight Thursday into Friday morning as cold air takes over, rain transitioning into snow will give places like Palmer the chance to see a little accumulation. Sloppy roads aren't out of the question in Eagle River or Wasilla.
The showers, no matter the type, will come to an end before the sun rises on Friday. That still leaves room for a slick commute coming in from the valley Friday morning.
Stay with the KTVA weather team for the latest on the developing forecast.
It looks like we dry out just in time for the weekend!
-Meteorologist Jeremy LaGoo