Plenty of sunshine and pleasant weather greeted us for the first day of fall, as afternoon highs soared into the mid 50s. Hopefully you enjoyed the sunshine, as clouds are on the increase ahead of our next weather maker. Even with the clouds in the forecast, overnight lows will still dip into the upper 30s. While the fall chill is in the air, Anchorage doesn't see our first measurable snowfall until the second week of October. Although with that said, higher elevations are already seeing termination dust and will continue to see snow, as the freezing level lowers. 

The clouds will stick around through Tuesday, as our next wave approaches from the west. The system which is still over the Alaska Range will take it's time getting here, so rain isn't likely in Anchorage and the valley until the evening hours. This upper level wave will bring cooler air to the region, but it will lag behind the system. Upwards of half an inch of rain is likely on average for the region, with the rain extending from the valley, down to the eastern side of the Kenai and across the Prince William Sound. Higher elevations of the Chugach will see some measurable snow, with a few flurries possible for the Anchorage Hillside. 

While our system departs Wednesday afternoon, the active weather pattern is set to stick around. We'll see a brief dry period before more rain arrives to welcome in the weekend. The system is still several days out, but it's looking likely this will be a significant rainmaker for Southcentral. While it's too early too tell just how much rain we see, it's likely to put a serious dent in our drought.

Have a great Tueday!

-Meteorologist Aaron Morrison