October surprise? Alaska policy wonks weigh in on last-minute campaign attacks
Two longtime Alaska political operatives both warn voters to expect an October surprise in the 2018 governor’s race.
An October surprise is a political term to describe a late-breaking attack against the front-runner in a campaign. Art Hackney and Ivan Moore say they’re not sure what form this surprise will take, but say it’s possible it could cut into Mike Dunleavy’s substantial lead in the polls.
Hackney is a longtime consultant for conservative candidates that have included Ted Stevens and Don Young. Moore is a public opinion researcher and pollster who has surveyed Alaskans since the 1990s.
Both Hackney and Moore were guests on KTVA's public affairs show Frontiers, which airs Sundays at 5 p.m. An interview about the potential for an October surprise was recorded after the show.
In the episode, guests discussed a poll released on Oct. 8, which ranked Dunleavy in first place with 46.5 percent, ahead of Gov. Bill Walker by almost 20 points.
Walker polled at 27 percent and Democrat Mark Begich at about 23 percent.
In this standalone interview, Hackney and Moore talk about how “under the radar” events in a campaign can affect the outcome in a polling.
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